Premier League 2026/27
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Bournemouth
42% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Villa
33% win probability
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027
- 17:30 UK23:00 IST
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- Sky SportsUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
AFC Bournemouth are narrow favourites at 42% to beat Aston Villa at Vitality Stadium. Powerplay247's predicted score is 1-0, with both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kick-off: Sat, 02 Jan 2027, 17:30 UK (23:00 IST).
- Favourite
- Bournemouth (42%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
Match prediction
Bournemouth vs Villa: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes AFC Bournemouth favourites at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Bournemouth
42% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Bournemouth 56%
Bournemouth win
42%
Villa win
33%
Draw
25%
Handicap line
Villa +0.5
Goals and totals
Bournemouth vs Villa goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Bournemouth 1.45, Villa 1.26. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Bournemouth expected goals
- 1.45
- Villa expected goals
- 1.26
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 71%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-1 (12%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 3.5-4.5
Team preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
AFC Bournemouth
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth are a mid-table side who are hard to beat at home but can struggle to create against organised defences, which keeps their games tighter.
Away
Aston Villa
Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa are a strong top-half side. Their games away at Vitality Stadium usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Markets
Best betting markets for Bournemouth vs Villa
Match result (1X2)
Bournemouth 42% · Draw 25% · Villa 33%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 55%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 51%, under 3.5 at 71%, from expected goals of 1.45 and 1.26.
Draw no bet
Bournemouth at 56% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Villa +0.5 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Bournemouth vs Villa
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 02
With the draw only 25%, the match-result market is fairly clean. Bournemouth on the Villa +0.5 handicap gives a bigger price if you expect a comfortable win.
- 03
The model leans towards goals: over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 55%. Goals markets look sharper than the result here.
- 04
The corners range is 10-13. The favourite tends to win most of them while the underdog sits deep, so team corners can beat the match total.
Match card
Bournemouth vs Villa match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 02 Jan 2027
- Kick-off (UK)
- 17:30
- Kick-off (India)
- 23:00 IST
- Stadium
- Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
- UK TV
- Sky Sports
Match preview
AFC Bournemouth host Aston Villa at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model gives Bournemouth an expected 1.45 goals and Villa 1.26, which works out to Bournemouth 42%, draw 25% and Villa 33%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Bournemouth vs Villa: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Bournemouth 42%, draw 25%, Villa 33%, so AFC Bournemouth are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.45 goals from Bournemouth and 1.26 from Villa.
When and where is AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
It kicks off on Sat, 02 Jan 2027 at 17:30 UK time (23:00 IST in India) at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth. It is live on Sky Sports in the UK. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
What time does Bournemouth vs Villa start in India?
Kick-off is 17:30 UK time on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, which is 23:00 IST in India.
Is AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa a derby?
No. It is a regular league fixture between clubs from Bournemouth and Birmingham.
Can I bet on Bournemouth vs Villa in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.