Premier League 2026/27 · London derby
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Arsenal
64% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Palace
14% win probability
- Wed, 03 Mar 2027
- 20:00 UK01:30 IST, next day
- Emirates Stadium, London
- TV pick to be confirmedUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Arsenal are clear favourites at 64% to beat Crystal Palace at Emirates Stadium. Powerplay247's predicted score is 1-0, with both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kick-off: Wed, 03 Mar 2027, 20:00 UK (01:30 IST, next day).
- Favourite
- Arsenal (64%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
Match prediction
Arsenal vs Palace: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Arsenal favourites at 64%, with the draw at 22%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Arsenal
64% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Arsenal 82%
Arsenal win
64%
Palace win
14%
Draw
22%
Handicap line
Arsenal -1
Goals and totals
Arsenal vs Palace goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Arsenal 1.86, Palace 0.75. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Arsenal expected goals
- 1.86
- Palace expected goals
- 0.75
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 73%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-0 (14%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 4.5-5.5
Team preview
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal are among the title contenders. Expect them to control possession at Emirates Stadium and push Palace back, so their chance count, and the corners market, tends to run high.
Away
Crystal Palace
Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace are a mid-table side who are hard to beat on their travels but can struggle to create against organised defences, which keeps their games tighter.
Markets
Best betting markets for Arsenal vs Palace
Match result (1X2)
Arsenal 64% · Draw 22% · Palace 14%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-0 (14%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 44%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 48%, under 3.5 at 73%, from expected goals of 1.86 and 0.75.
Draw no bet
Arsenal at 82% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Arsenal -1 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Arsenal vs Palace
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 02
Derbies bring more fouls and bookings. The model's card range is 4.5-5.5, above the usual Premier League average.
- 03
With the draw only 22%, the match-result market is fairly clean. Arsenal on the Arsenal -1 handicap gives a bigger price if you expect a comfortable win.
- 04
The model leans towards a tight game: under 3.5 goals at 73%. If the first 30 minutes stay goalless, in-play unders usually get even shorter.
Match card
Arsenal vs Palace match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Wed, 03 Mar 2027
- Kick-off (UK)
- 20:00
- Kick-off (India)
- 01:30 IST, next day
- Stadium
- Emirates Stadium, London
- Rivalry
- London derby
- UK TV
- To be confirmed
Match preview
Arsenal host Crystal Palace at Emirates Stadium, London, in the Premier League 2026/27. It is a London derby, so form counts for less than usual and the game tends to be tighter and more physical. Our goals model gives Arsenal an expected 1.86 goals and Palace 0.75, which works out to Arsenal 64%, draw 22% and Palace 14%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Arsenal vs Palace: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Arsenal 64%, draw 22%, Palace 14%, so Arsenal are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.86 goals from Arsenal and 0.75 from Palace.
When and where is Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?
It kicks off on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 at 20:00 UK time (01:30 IST, next day in India) at Emirates Stadium in London. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
Which markets are open for Arsenal vs Palace?
Match result, draw no bet, handicap, correct score, both teams to score, total goals, corners and cards, before kick-off and in-play on Powerplay247.
Can I bet on Arsenal vs Palace in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
Is Arsenal vs Crystal Palace a derby?
Yes, it is the London derby. Derbies tend to be tighter and more physical, so the model trims the expected goals and raises the card range to 4.5-5.5.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.