Premier League 2026/27 · Tyne-Wear derby
Newcastle United vs Sunderland Prediction
Predicted score, odds & match preview
Newcastle
61% win probability
Predicted score
1 : 0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
17% win probability
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026
- 15:00 UK20:30 IST
- St James' Park, Newcastle
- TV pick to be confirmedUK broadcast
Quick answer
Quick answer
Our prediction for Newcastle United vs Sunderland: Newcastle 61%, draw 22%, Sunderland 17%. Our predicted score is 1-0, and the model expects about 2.7 goals in total. It kicks off Sat, 05 Dec 2026, 15:00 UK (20:30 IST) at St James' Park.
- Favourite
- Newcastle (61%)
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
Match prediction
Newcastle vs Sunderland: who will win?
Powerplay247's goals model makes Newcastle United favourites at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.
Predicted winner
Newcastle
61% · predicted 1-0
Draw no bet: Newcastle 78%
Newcastle win
61%
Sunderland win
17%
Draw
22%
Handicap line
Newcastle -1
Goals and totals
Newcastle vs Sunderland goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.85, Sunderland 0.87. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.
- Newcastle expected goals
- 1.85
- Sunderland expected goals
- 0.87
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 3.5 goals
- 71%
- Likeliest exact score
- 1-0 (12%)
- Half-time score
- 0-0
- Total corners
- 10-13
- Total cards
- 4.5-5.5
Team preview
Newcastle United vs Sunderland: team preview
How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.
Home
Newcastle United
St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle United are a strong top-half side. Their games at St James' Park usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.
Away
Sunderland
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland are a mid-table side who are hard to beat on their travels but can struggle to create against organised defences, which keeps their games tighter.
Markets
Best betting markets for Newcastle vs Sunderland
Match result (1X2)
Newcastle 61% · Draw 22% · Sunderland 17%.
Correct score
The single most likely exact score is 1-0 (12%), and our predicted score is 1-0. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.
Both teams to score
Yes at 49%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.
Total goals
Over 2.5 at 51%, under 3.5 at 71%, from expected goals of 1.85 and 0.87.
Draw no bet
Newcastle at 78% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.
Handicap
Newcastle -1 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.
Betting notes
How to bet on Newcastle vs Sunderland
Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Powerplay247 is an exchange: you can back or lay every market on Newcastle vs Sunderland and trade out in-play, for example after an early goal, instead of waiting for full time.
- 02
Derbies bring more fouls and bookings. The model's card range is 4.5-5.5, above the usual Premier League average.
- 03
Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.
- 04
With the draw only 22%, the match-result market is fairly clean. Newcastle on the Newcastle -1 handicap gives a bigger price if you expect a comfortable win.
Match card
Newcastle vs Sunderland match details
- Competition
- Premier League 2026/27
- Date
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026
- Kick-off (UK)
- 15:00
- Kick-off (India)
- 20:30 IST
- Stadium
- St James' Park, Newcastle
- Rivalry
- Tyne-Wear derby
- UK TV
- To be confirmed
Match preview
Newcastle United host Sunderland at St James' Park, Newcastle, in the Premier League 2026/27. It is a Tyne-Wear derby, so form counts for less than usual and the game tends to be tighter and more physical. Our goals model gives Newcastle an expected 1.85 goals and Sunderland 0.87, which works out to Newcastle 61%, draw 22% and Sunderland 17%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 1-0. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
Newcastle vs Sunderland: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes it Newcastle 61%, draw 22%, Sunderland 17%, so Newcastle United are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
Our predicted full-time score is 1-0, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.85 goals from Newcastle and 0.87 from Sunderland.
When and where is Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
It kicks off on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 at 15:00 UK time (20:30 IST in India) at St James' Park in Newcastle. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for Premier League betting?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will help with setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Sat, 05 Dec 2026.
What time does Newcastle vs Sunderland start in India?
Kick-off is 15:00 UK time on Sat, 05 Dec 2026, which is 20:30 IST in India.
Can I bet on Newcastle vs Sunderland in-play?
Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppFixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.