India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · TEST MATCH
New Zealand vs India 1st Test Prediction
NZ vs IND · who will win, pitch report & odds
New Zealand
55% win probability
Projected day-one total
244-286:244-290
India
45% win probability
- Thu, 26 Nov 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Basin Reserve, Wellington
- GREEN / SEAM
Quick answer
Quick answer
New Zealand are the 55% favourites to win the 1st Test against India at Basin Reserve. Our projection puts New Zealand on 244-286 and India on 244-290, on a green / seam pitch that suits seam bowlers. The match starts Thu, 26 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- New Zealand (55%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Seamers
- Venue
- Basin Reserve
Match prediction
NZ vs IND 1st Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans New Zealand at 55% for this 1st Test at Basin Reserve, Wellington. The toss and the green / seam conditions will still move the live price, so treat 55% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
New Zealand
55% win probability
1st Test · TEST MATCH
New Zealand win
55%
India win
45%
NZ projected
244-286
IND projected
244-290
Pitch and conditions
Basin Reserve pitch report for NZ vs IND
Basin Reserve is rated green / seam for this test match. Most of the danger comes with the new ball. Expect sideways movement in the opening overs, with batting getting easier once the lacquer wears off.
Venue
Basin Reserve
Surface
GREEN / SEAM
Best suited to
Seamers
Day-one total
244-286 / 244-290
Toss call: Bowling first is the usual call while there is moisture in the surface and swing in the air.
Projected scoreline
New Zealand vs India projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a green / seam surface.
| Phase | New Zealand | India |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 80-94 | 84-100 |
| Session 2 | 85-99 | 85-101 |
| Session 3 | 79-93 | 75-89 |
| Day-one total | 244-286 | 244-290 |
Players to watch
Key players in New Zealand vs India
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- LF95Impact
Lockie Ferguson
Swings the new ball
- GP81Impact
Glenn Phillips
Converts starts into hundreds
India
- MS94Impact
Mohammed Shami
Swings the new ball
- SI86Impact
Shreyas Iyer
Converts starts into hundreds
Betting notes
How to bet on NZ vs IND 1st Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Powerplay247 is an exchange, so you can back or lay every market on New Zealand vs India. You can also trade out mid-match to lock in part of a profit.
- 02
Basin Reserve is rated green / seam. The first-wicket and opening-partnership markets are where the early value sits, especially with New Zealand's seamers used to these conditions.
- 03
Late in a series, player markets such as top batter and most sixes often lag the match-winner line. That makes them the softer option on 1st Test day.
- 04
At 55-45, this is close to a coin flip. Tight Test markets usually swing hardest during the second session, so an early position with room to trade out makes sense.
Match card
New Zealand vs India match details
- Series
- India tour of New Zealand, 2026
- Match
- 1st Test (11 of 12)
- Date
- Thu, 26 Nov 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Basin Reserve, Wellington
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 - Mon, 30 Nov 2026
- Series format
- 5 T20Is | 5 ODIs | 2 Tests
Match preview
New Zealand meet India in the 1st Test of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 at Basin Reserve, Wellington. Coming late in India tour of New Zealand, 2026, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. New Zealand are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has New Zealand scoring 244-286 and India 244-290, with New Zealand ahead at 55%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Basin Reserve will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
NZ vs IND 1st Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes New Zealand favourites at 55%, with India on 45%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a green / seam pitch at Basin Reserve. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Basin Reserve?
Basin Reserve, Wellington is rated green / seam for this Test, which suits seam bowlers. That is why New Zealand are projected at 244-286 and India at 244-290. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is New Zealand vs India?
The 1st Test is scheduled for Thu, 26 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Basin Reserve, Wellington, as part of India tour of New Zealand, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Which markets are best for this Test?
Session runs, first-innings lead and next-wicket markets. In a Test at Basin Reserve, those move far more than the result line, especially after the first session.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for the 1st Test?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will guide you through setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Thu, 26 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
Does home advantage matter in the 1st Test?
Yes. New Zealand know Basin Reserve well, and that is already part of New Zealand's 55% rating. If the green / seam conditions play differently than expected, India at 45% is the value side.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.