Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 · TEST MATCH
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka 1st Test Prediction
NZ vs SL · who will win, pitch report & odds
New Zealand
62% win probability
Projected day-one total
262-308:242-286
Sri Lanka
38% win probability
- Fri, 12 Feb 2027Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
- FLAT / BATTERS
Quick answer
Quick answer
New Zealand are the 62% favourites to win the 1st Test against Sri Lanka at Bay Oval. Our projection puts New Zealand on 262-308 and Sri Lanka on 242-286, on a flat / batters pitch that suits batters. The match starts Fri, 12 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- New Zealand (62%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Batters
- Venue
- Bay Oval
Match prediction
NZ vs SL 1st Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans New Zealand at 62% for this 1st Test at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. The toss and the flat / batters conditions will still move the live price, so treat 62% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
New Zealand
62% win probability
1st Test · TEST MATCH
New Zealand win
62%
Sri Lanka win
38%
NZ projected
262-308
SL projected
242-286
Pitch and conditions
Bay Oval pitch report for NZ vs SL
Bay Oval is rated flat / batters for this test match. Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.
Venue
Bay Oval
Surface
FLAT / BATTERS
Best suited to
Batters
Day-one total
262-308 / 242-286
Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.
Projected scoreline
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface.
| Phase | New Zealand | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 82-98 | 77-91 |
| Session 2 | 95-111 | 90-106 |
| Session 3 | 85-99 | 75-89 |
| Day-one total | 262-308 | 242-286 |
Players to watch
Key players in New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- GP95Impact
Glenn Phillips
Anchors the first innings
- DM80Impact
Daryl Mitchell
Balances bat and ball
Sri Lanka
- PN83Impact
Pathum Nissanka
Anchors the first innings
- DM97Impact
Dilshan Madushanka
Hits a hard length
Betting notes
How to bet on NZ vs SL 1st Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Between the toss and the first ball, liquidity is thin and prices move fast. That window is where an informed view on the flat / batters surface pays off most.
- 02
New Zealand go in as clear 62% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if Sri Lanka win the first hour.
- 03
Late in a series, player markets such as top batter and most sixes often lag the match-winner line. That makes them the softer option on 1st Test day.
- 04
In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on New Zealand vs Sri Lanka react faster than the overall result line.
Match card
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match details
- Series
- Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
- Match
- 1st Test (7 of 8)
- Date
- Fri, 12 Feb 2027
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 - Tue, 16 Feb 2027
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 T20Is | 2 Tests
Match preview
New Zealand meet Sri Lanka in the 1st Test of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027 at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. Coming late in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. New Zealand are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has New Zealand scoring 262-308 and Sri Lanka 242-286, with New Zealand ahead at 62%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Bay Oval will move the live price on Powerplay247.
All fixturesNext on the calendar
More cricket fixtures
Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
2nd Test: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
Tue, 16 Feb 2027
Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
1st ODI: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
Sat, 16 Jan 2027
Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
1st T20I: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
Fri, 29 Jan 2027
Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027
2nd ODI: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
Wed, 20 Jan 2027
Read before you bet
Cricket betting guides
India vs New Zealand T20: live betting on Powerplay247Sports insights · Play responsiblyIndia vs New Zealand T20: live betting on Powerplay247
Live Powerplay247 markets for India vs New Zealand T20s: let prices settle after a wicket, screenshot each slip and don't chase the first in-play price you see.
Read more
India vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Powerplay247Sports insights · Play responsiblyIndia vs New Zealand T20 World Cup final on Powerplay247
If the T20 World Cup final is India vs New Zealand, here's how to open that fixture on Powerplay247 and which markets to use. This page predicts no score.
Read more
Your Powerplay247 ID for an India vs New Zealand finalSports insights · Play responsiblyYour Powerplay247 ID for an India vs New Zealand final
Use your existing Powerplay247 cricket ID for an India vs New Zealand final. Fund your wallet early, open the final fixture and don't register again at the toss.
Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
NZ vs SL 1st Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes New Zealand favourites at 62%, with Sri Lanka on 38%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / batters pitch at Bay Oval. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Bay Oval?
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui is rated flat / batters for this Test, which suits batters. That is why New Zealand are projected at 262-308 and Sri Lanka at 242-286. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is New Zealand vs Sri Lanka?
The 1st Test is scheduled for Fri, 12 Feb 2027, 19:30 IST at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, as part of Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Which markets are best for this Test?
Session runs, first-innings lead and next-wicket markets. In a Test at Bay Oval, those move far more than the result line, especially after the first session.
Can I bet on NZ vs SL in-play?
Yes. Powerplay247 keeps New Zealand vs Sri Lanka open ball by ball, with back and lay prices on the match winner, sessions and player markets. The best in-play window is usually just after the second session.
Where does the 1st Test fit in Sri Lanka tour of New Zealand, 2027?
It is match 7 of 8, so recent form is already in New Zealand's 62% line. Any momentum swing from the last game is where value can appear.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.