Powerplay247

Premier League 2026/27

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction

Predicted score, odds & match preview

AVL

Villa

33% win probability

Predicted score

0 : 1

HT 0-0

LIV

Liverpool

42% win probability

33%Draw 25%42%
  • Wed, 30 Dec 2026
  • 20:15 UK01:45 IST, next day
  • Villa Park, Birmingham
  • Sky SportsUK broadcast

Quick answer

Quick answer

Aston Villa vs Liverpool kicks off Wed, 30 Dec 2026, 20:15 UK (01:45 IST, next day). Liverpool are narrow favourites at 42%, our predicted score is 0-1, and the model rates both teams to score at 56%.

Favourite
Liverpool (42%)
Predicted score
0-1
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
52%

Match prediction

Villa vs Liverpool: who will win?

Powerplay247's goals model makes Liverpool favourites at 42%, with the draw at 25%. Team news and the live price matter as much as the model, so treat it as a lean.

Predicted winner

Liverpool

42% · predicted 0-1

Draw no bet: Liverpool 56%

Villa win

33%

Liverpool win

42%

Draw

25%

Handicap line

Villa +0.5

Goals and totals

Villa vs Liverpool goals prediction: BTTS and over 2.5

Expected goals: Villa 1.29, Liverpool 1.48. Every figure below comes from the same model, so they all agree with the predicted score.

Villa expected goals
1.29
Liverpool expected goals
1.48
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 3.5 goals
70%
Likeliest exact score
1-1 (12%)
Half-time score
0-0
Total corners
11-14
Total cards
3.5-4.5

Team preview

Aston Villa vs Liverpool: team preview

How each side is likely to approach the game. Confirmed line-ups are released about an hour before kick-off.

Home

Aston Villa

Villa Park, Birmingham

AVL

Aston Villa are a strong top-half side. Their games at Villa Park usually turn on midfield control and how well they defend transitions.

Away

Liverpool

Anfield, Liverpool

LIV

Liverpool are among the title contenders. Expect them to control possession away at Villa Park and push Villa back, so their chance count, and the corners market, tends to run high.

Markets

Best betting markets for Villa vs Liverpool

Match result (1X2)

Villa 33% · Draw 25% · Liverpool 42%.

Correct score

The single most likely exact score is 1-1 (12%), and our predicted score is 0-1. Correct-score prices pay well because even the top score rarely happens.

Both teams to score

Yes at 56%. It is a useful hedge when you back a favourite that might concede.

Total goals

Over 2.5 at 52%, under 3.5 at 70%, from expected goals of 1.29 and 1.48.

Draw no bet

Liverpool at 56% on the two-way split; your stake comes back if it ends level.

Handicap

Villa +0.5 is the handicap line that best matches the model's gap between the sides.

Betting notes

How to bet on Villa vs Liverpool

Four angles to weigh before you place a bet on this fixture.

  1. 01

    The model leans towards goals: over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 56%. Goals markets look sharper than the result here.

  2. 02

    Wait for the confirmed line-ups, usually out an hour before kick-off. A missing striker or first-choice keeper can move the goals lines more than the 1X2 price.

  3. 03

    Powerplay247 is an exchange: you can back or lay every market on Villa vs Liverpool and trade out in-play, for example after an early goal, instead of waiting for full time.

  4. 04

    The corners range is 11-14. The favourite tends to win most of them while the underdog sits deep, so team corners can beat the match total.

Match card

Villa vs Liverpool match details

Competition
Premier League 2026/27
Date
Wed, 30 Dec 2026
Kick-off (UK)
20:15
Kick-off (India)
01:45 IST, next day
Stadium
Villa Park, Birmingham
UK TV
Sky Sports

Match preview

Aston Villa host Liverpool at Villa Park, Birmingham, in the Premier League 2026/27. Our goals model gives Villa an expected 1.29 goals and Liverpool 1.48, which works out to Villa 33%, draw 25% and Liverpool 42%. The most likely half-time score is 0-0 and the predicted full-time score is 0-1. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off, and team news is the biggest single mover of the price on Powerplay247.

All fixtures

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Quick answers

Frequently asked questions

6 questions

Villa vs Liverpool: who will win?

Powerplay247's model makes it Villa 33%, draw 25%, Liverpool 42%, so Liverpool are favourites. It is based on team strength and home advantage, not a guarantee, so check the live price and the confirmed line-ups before you bet.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Our predicted full-time score is 0-1, and the most likely half-time score is 0-0. The model expects 1.29 goals from Villa and 1.48 from Liverpool.

When and where is Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

It kicks off on Wed, 30 Dec 2026 at 20:15 UK time (01:45 IST, next day in India) at Villa Park in Birmingham. It is live on Sky Sports in the UK. Premier League fixtures can be moved for TV or cup games, so check the date closer to kick-off.

Is Aston Villa vs Liverpool a derby?

No. It is a regular league fixture between clubs from Birmingham and Liverpool.

Can I bet on Villa vs Liverpool in-play?

Yes. Markets stay open for the full 90 minutes with back and lay prices, so you can trade out after a goal, a red card or a change in momentum.

Will both teams score in Villa vs Liverpool?

The model puts both teams to score at 56%. That leans yes, and over 2.5 goals sits at 52%.

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Fixture dates and kick-off times follow the Premier League's published schedule and can change for TV or cup games. Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.