India tour of New Zealand, 2026 · ODI (50 OVERS)
New Zealand vs India 5th ODI Prediction
NZ vs IND · who will win, pitch report & odds
New Zealand
51% win probability
Projected first-innings total
309-355:299-351
India
49% win probability
- Mon, 23 Nov 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
- FLAT / HIGH-SCORING
Quick answer
Quick answer
Powerplay247's model gives New Zealand a 51% chance and India 49% in the NZ vs IND 5th ODI at Bay Oval. Expect New Zealand around 309-355 and India around 299-351 on a surface rated flat / high-scoring. First ball: Mon, 23 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- New Zealand (51%)
- Format
- ODI (50 OVERS)
- Pitch suits
- Batters
- Venue
- Bay Oval
Match prediction
NZ vs IND 5th ODI: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans New Zealand at 51% for this 5th ODI at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. The toss and the flat / high-scoring conditions will still move the live price, so treat 51% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
New Zealand
51% win probability
5th ODI · ODI (50 OVERS)
New Zealand win
51%
India win
49%
NZ projected
309-355
IND projected
299-351
Pitch and conditions
Bay Oval pitch report for NZ vs IND
Bay Oval is rated flat / high-scoring for this odi (50 overs). Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.
Venue
Bay Oval
Surface
FLAT / HIGH-SCORING
Best suited to
Batters
First-innings total
309-355 / 299-351
Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.
Projected scoreline
New Zealand vs India projected score by phase
How the first-innings total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / high-scoring surface.
| Phase | New Zealand | India |
|---|---|---|
| Powerplay (0-10) | 51-59 | 53-63 |
| Middle Overs (11-40) | 169-191 | 163-187 |
| Death Overs (41-50) | 89-105 | 83-101 |
| First-innings total | 309-355 | 299-351 |
Players to watch
Key players in New Zealand vs India
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this odi (50 overs). Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
New Zealand
- RR82Impact
Rachin Ravindra
Drives the middle overs
- KW88Impact
Kane Williamson
Sets the powerplay tempo
India
- RJ91Impact
Ravindra Jadeja
Drives the middle overs
- JB85Impact
Jasprit Bumrah
Bowls at the death
Betting notes
How to bet on NZ vs IND 5th ODI
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
50-over games are won in the middle. Most of the liquidity sits in overs 11-40 and the final ten, which is where New Zealand (309-355) and India (299-351) will either hit or miss their projections.
- 02
At 51-49, this is close to a coin flip. Tight ODI markets usually swing hardest during overs 11-40, so an early position with room to trade out makes sense.
- 03
The previous result is already in New Zealand's price. If you think the market has overreacted, the exchange lets you take the other side at 49%.
- 04
Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 309-355 and 299-351, the runs lines, boundary counts and overs 11-40 markets carry more edge than the match winner.
Match card
New Zealand vs India match details
- Series
- India tour of New Zealand, 2026
- Match
- 5th ODI (10 of 12)
- Date
- Mon, 23 Nov 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
- Format
- ODI (50 OVERS)
- Series window
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 - Mon, 30 Nov 2026
- Series format
- 5 T20Is | 5 ODIs | 2 Tests
Match preview
New Zealand meet India in the 5th ODI of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. As match 10 of 12 in India tour of New Zealand, 2026, it follows on directly from the form of the last game. New Zealand are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has New Zealand scoring 309-355 and India 299-351, with New Zealand ahead at 51%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Bay Oval will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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6 questions
NZ vs IND 5th ODI: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes New Zealand favourites at 51%, with India on 49%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / high-scoring pitch at Bay Oval. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Bay Oval?
Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui is rated flat / high-scoring for this ODI, which suits batters. That is why New Zealand are projected at 309-355 and India at 299-351. The pitch usually moves the totals and overs 11-40 markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is New Zealand vs India?
The 5th ODI is scheduled for Mon, 23 Nov 2026, 19:30 IST at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, as part of India tour of New Zealand, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Which players could decide New Zealand vs India?
Watch Rachin Ravindra for New Zealand (drives the middle overs) and Ravindra Jadeja for India (drives the middle overs). On a pitch that suits batters, their runs and wickets markets often move before the match-winner price does.
What are the projected scores for NZ vs IND?
We project New Zealand at 309-355 and India at 299-351 for the first-innings total. The biggest phase is Middle Overs (11-40), where New Zealand are expected to score 169-191 and India 163-187.
Where does the 5th ODI fit in India tour of New Zealand, 2026?
It is match 10 of 12, so recent form is already in New Zealand's 51% line. Any momentum swing from the last game is where value can appear.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.