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Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027 · TEST MATCH

Australia vs England One-off Test Prediction

AUS vs ENG · who will win, pitch report & odds

AUS

Australia

61% win probability

Projected day-one total

270-316:257-303

ENG

England

39% win probability

61%39%
  • Thu, 11 Mar 2027Series window, not a confirmed XI date
  • 19:30 IST
  • Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
  • FLAT / BATTERS

Quick answer

Quick answer

Our lean for Australia vs England is Australia at 61%. Melbourne Cricket Ground is rated flat / batters, which favours batters, and the projected day-one totals are 270-316 for Australia and 257-303 for England. Start time: Thu, 11 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST.

Favourite
Australia (61%)
Format
TEST MATCH
Pitch suits
Batters
Venue
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Match prediction

AUS vs ENG One-off Test: who will win?

Powerplay247's model leans Australia at 61% for this One-off Test at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. The toss and the flat / batters conditions will still move the live price, so treat 61% as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Australia

61% win probability

One-off Test · TEST MATCH

Australia win

61%

England win

39%

AUS projected

270-316

ENG projected

257-303

Pitch and conditions

Melbourne Cricket Ground pitch report for AUS vs ENG

Melbourne Cricket Ground is rated flat / batters for this test match. Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.

Venue

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Surface

FLAT / BATTERS

Best suited to

Batters

Day-one total

270-316 / 257-303

Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.

Projected scoreline

Australia vs England projected score by phase

How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface.

Projected TEST MATCH scoring phases for Australia vs England
PhaseAustraliaEngland
Session 188-10285-101
Session 296-11491-107
Session 386-10081-95
Day-one total270-316257-303

Players to watch

Key players in Australia vs England

The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.

Australia

  • DW

    David Warner

    Anchors the first innings

    82Impact
  • GM

    Glenn Maxwell

    Balances bat and ball

    88Impact

England

  • JB

    Jonny Bairstow

    Adds lower-order runs

    95Impact
  • BS

    Ben Stokes

    Balances bat and ball

    86Impact

Betting notes

How to bet on AUS vs ENG One-off Test

Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.

  1. 01

    Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 270-316 and 257-303, the runs lines, boundary counts and the second session markets carry more edge than the match winner.

  2. 02

    In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on Australia vs England react faster than the overall result line.

  3. 03

    Series openers are usually priced on reputation, not recent form. That gap tends to close within the first hour, so early prices on England can be worth a look.

  4. 04

    Between the toss and the first ball, liquidity is thin and prices move fast. That window is where an informed view on the flat / batters surface pays off most.

Match card

Australia vs England match details

Series
Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027
Match
One-off Test (1 of 1)
Date
Thu, 11 Mar 2027
Start
19:30 IST
Venue
Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
Format
TEST MATCH
Series window
Thu, 11 Mar 2027 - Mon, 15 Mar 2027
Series format
1 Test

Match preview

Australia meet England in the One-off Test of Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027 at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. It is the opening match of Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027, so neither side has shown its hand at this venue yet. Neither side is at home, so conditions weigh more than crowd or familiarity. Our projection has Australia scoring 270-316 and England 257-303, with Australia ahead at 61%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Melbourne Cricket Ground will move the live price on Powerplay247.

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Quick answers

Frequently asked questions

6 questions

AUS vs ENG One-off Test: who will win?

Powerplay247's model makes Australia favourites at 61%, with England on 39%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / batters pitch at Melbourne Cricket Ground. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.

What is the pitch report for Melbourne Cricket Ground?

Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne is rated flat / batters for this Test, which suits batters. That is why Australia are projected at 270-316 and England at 257-303. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.

When and where is Australia vs England?

The One-off Test is scheduled for Thu, 11 Mar 2027, 19:30 IST at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne, as part of Australia vs England 150th Anniversary One-off Test, 2027. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.

Does home advantage matter in the One-off Test?

Not much here. Neither side is at home, so the flat / batters conditions at Melbourne Cricket Ground matter more than the crowd. The current split is Australia 61% and England 39%.

Which players could decide Australia vs England?

Watch David Warner for Australia (anchors the first innings) and Jonny Bairstow for England (adds lower-order runs). On a pitch that suits batters, their runs and wickets markets often move before the match-winner price does.

Can I bet on AUS vs ENG in-play?

Yes. Powerplay247 keeps Australia vs England open ball by ball, with back and lay prices on the match winner, sessions and player markets. The best in-play window is usually just after the second session.

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Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.