New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · TEST MATCH
Australia vs New Zealand 3rd Test Prediction
AUS vs NZ · who will win, pitch report & odds
Australia
67% win probability
Projected day-one total
278-324:249-297
New Zealand
33% win probability
- Tue, 29 Dec 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
- FLAT / BATTERS
Quick answer
Quick answer
Australia are the 67% favourites to win the 3rd Test against New Zealand at Melbourne Cricket Ground. Our projection puts Australia on 278-324 and New Zealand on 249-297, on a flat / batters pitch that suits batters. The match starts Tue, 29 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- Australia (67%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Batters
- Venue
- Melbourne Cricket Ground
Match prediction
AUS vs NZ 3rd Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans Australia at 67% for this 3rd Test at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. The toss and the flat / batters conditions will still move the live price, so treat 67% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
Australia
67% win probability
3rd Test · TEST MATCH
Australia win
67%
New Zealand win
33%
AUS projected
278-324
NZ projected
249-297
Pitch and conditions
Melbourne Cricket Ground pitch report for AUS vs NZ
Melbourne Cricket Ground is rated flat / batters for this test match. Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.
Venue
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Surface
FLAT / BATTERS
Best suited to
Batters
Day-one total
278-324 / 249-297
Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.
Projected scoreline
Australia vs New Zealand projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface.
| Phase | Australia | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 90-108 | 86-102 |
| Session 2 | 98-112 | 88-104 |
| Session 3 | 90-104 | 75-91 |
| Day-one total | 278-324 | 249-297 |
Players to watch
Key players in Australia vs New Zealand
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
Australia
- DW91Impact
David Warner
Anchors the first innings
- PC87Impact
Pat Cummins
Hits a hard length
New Zealand
- DC81Impact
Devon Conway
Adds lower-order runs
- MH97Impact
Matt Henry
Hits a hard length
Betting notes
How to bet on AUS vs NZ 3rd Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Australia go in as clear 67% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if New Zealand win the first hour.
- 02
In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on Australia vs New Zealand react faster than the overall result line.
- 03
Between the toss and the first ball, liquidity is thin and prices move fast. That window is where an informed view on the flat / batters surface pays off most.
- 04
Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 278-324 and 249-297, the runs lines, boundary counts and the second session markets carry more edge than the match winner.
Match card
Australia vs New Zealand match details
- Series
- New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27
- Match
- 3rd Test (3 of 4)
- Date
- Tue, 29 Dec 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Wed, 09 Dec 2026 - Fri, 08 Jan 2027
- Series format
- 4 Tests
Match preview
Australia meet New Zealand in the 3rd Test of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne. Coming late in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. Australia are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has Australia scoring 278-324 and New Zealand 249-297, with Australia ahead at 67%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Melbourne Cricket Ground will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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6 questions
AUS vs NZ 3rd Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes Australia favourites at 67%, with New Zealand on 33%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / batters pitch at Melbourne Cricket Ground. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Melbourne Cricket Ground?
Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne is rated flat / batters for this Test, which suits batters. That is why Australia are projected at 278-324 and New Zealand at 249-297. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is Australia vs New Zealand?
The 3rd Test is scheduled for Tue, 29 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne, as part of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
How do I get a Powerplay247 ID for the 3rd Test?
Message Powerplay247 support on WhatsApp and ask for an ID. The team will guide you through setup and your first deposit so you are ready before Tue, 29 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.
Which markets are best for this Test?
Session runs, first-innings lead and next-wicket markets. In a Test at Melbourne Cricket Ground, those move far more than the result line, especially after the first session.
Can I bet on AUS vs NZ in-play?
Yes. Powerplay247 keeps Australia vs New Zealand open ball by ball, with back and lay prices on the match winner, sessions and player markets. The best in-play window is usually just after the second session.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.