Powerplay247

New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · TEST MATCH

Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test Prediction

AUS vs NZ · who will win, pitch report & odds

AUS

Australia

66% win probability

Projected day-one total

269-315:254-298

NZ

New Zealand

34% win probability

66%34%
  • Sat, 19 Dec 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
  • 19:30 IST
  • Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
  • FLAT / BATTERS

Quick answer

Quick answer

Powerplay247's model gives Australia a 66% chance and New Zealand 34% in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test at Adelaide Oval. Expect Australia around 269-315 and New Zealand around 254-298 on a surface rated flat / batters. First ball: Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST.

Favourite
Australia (66%)
Format
TEST MATCH
Pitch suits
Batters
Venue
Adelaide Oval

Match prediction

AUS vs NZ 2nd Test: who will win?

Powerplay247's model leans Australia at 66% for this 2nd Test at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. The toss and the flat / batters conditions will still move the live price, so treat 66% as a lean rather than a certainty.

Predicted winner

Australia

66% win probability

2nd Test · TEST MATCH

Australia win

66%

New Zealand win

34%

AUS projected

269-315

NZ projected

254-298

Pitch and conditions

Adelaide Oval pitch report for AUS vs NZ

Adelaide Oval is rated flat / batters for this test match. Even bounce and good carry reward shot-making, so totals here usually finish above the format average.

Venue

Adelaide Oval

Surface

FLAT / BATTERS

Best suited to

Batters

Day-one total

269-315 / 254-298

Toss call: The toss matters less than usual. The sharper angle is the runs line, not which side bats first.

Projected scoreline

Australia vs New Zealand projected score by phase

How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a flat / batters surface.

Projected TEST MATCH scoring phases for Australia vs New Zealand
PhaseAustraliaNew Zealand
Session 187-10182-98
Session 299-11795-111
Session 383-9777-89
Day-one total269-315254-298

Players to watch

Key players in Australia vs New Zealand

The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.

Australia

  • SS

    Steve Smith

    Anchors the first innings

    83Impact
  • JH

    Josh Hazlewood

    Hits a hard length

    82Impact

New Zealand

  • MH

    Matt Henry

    Hits a hard length

    92Impact
  • KW

    Kane Williamson

    Converts starts into hundreds

    86Impact

Betting notes

How to bet on AUS vs NZ 2nd Test

Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.

  1. 01

    In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on Australia vs New Zealand react faster than the overall result line.

  2. 02

    Totals look like the best angle. With projections of 269-315 and 254-298, the runs lines, boundary counts and the second session markets carry more edge than the match winner.

  3. 03

    Australia go in as clear 66% favourites. Backing them early is simple, but the better value often comes from laying them in-play if New Zealand win the first hour.

  4. 04

    The previous result is already in Australia's price. If you think the market has overreacted, the exchange lets you take the other side at 34%.

Match card

Australia vs New Zealand match details

Series
New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27
Match
2nd Test (2 of 4)
Date
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
Start
19:30 IST
Venue
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Format
TEST MATCH
Series window
Wed, 09 Dec 2026 - Fri, 08 Jan 2027
Series format
4 Tests

Match preview

Australia meet New Zealand in the 2nd Test of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. As match 2 of 4 in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27, it follows on directly from the form of the last game. Australia are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has Australia scoring 269-315 and New Zealand 254-298, with Australia ahead at 66%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Adelaide Oval will move the live price on Powerplay247.

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Quick answers

Frequently asked questions

6 questions

AUS vs NZ 2nd Test: who will win?

Powerplay247's model makes Australia favourites at 66%, with New Zealand on 34%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a flat / batters pitch at Adelaide Oval. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.

What is the pitch report for Adelaide Oval?

Adelaide Oval, Adelaide is rated flat / batters for this Test, which suits batters. That is why Australia are projected at 269-315 and New Zealand at 254-298. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.

When and where is Australia vs New Zealand?

The 2nd Test is scheduled for Sat, 19 Dec 2026, 19:30 IST at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, as part of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.

Where does the 2nd Test fit in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27?

It is match 2 of 4, so recent form is already in Australia's 66% line. Any momentum swing from the last game is where value can appear.

Does home advantage matter in the 2nd Test?

Yes. Australia know Adelaide Oval well, and that is already part of Australia's 66% rating. If the flat / batters conditions play differently than expected, New Zealand at 34% is the value side.

Can I bet on AUS vs NZ in-play?

Yes. Powerplay247 keeps Australia vs New Zealand open ball by ball, with back and lay prices on the match winner, sessions and player markets. The best in-play window is usually just after the second session.

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Predictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.