Australia tour of South Africa, 2026 · TEST MATCH
South Africa vs Australia 2nd Test Prediction
SA vs AUS · who will win, pitch report & odds
South Africa
48% win probability
Projected day-one total
239-287:236-284
Australia
52% win probability
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- St George's Park, Gqeberha
- TWO-PACED / BOWLING
Quick answer
Quick answer
Our lean for South Africa vs Australia is Australia at 52%. St George's Park is rated two-paced / bowling, which favours bowlers, and the projected day-one totals are 239-287 for South Africa and 236-284 for Australia. Start time: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- Australia (52%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Bowlers
- Venue
- St George's Park
Match prediction
SA vs AUS 2nd Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans Australia at 52% for this 2nd Test at St George's Park, Gqeberha. The toss and the two-paced / bowling conditions will still move the live price, so treat 52% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
Australia
52% win probability
2nd Test · TEST MATCH
South Africa win
48%
Australia win
52%
SA projected
239-287
AUS projected
236-284
Pitch and conditions
St George's Park pitch report for SA vs AUS
St George's Park is rated two-paced / bowling for this test match. The ball comes on at uneven pace, which punishes hard hands and keeps totals under par.
Venue
St George's Park
Surface
TWO-PACED / BOWLING
Best suited to
Bowlers
Day-one total
239-287 / 236-284
Toss call: Most sides choose to bowl, since the surface tends to slow down further as the game goes on.
Projected scoreline
South Africa vs Australia projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a two-paced / bowling surface.
| Phase | South Africa | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 78-94 | 77-95 |
| Session 2 | 89-107 | 84-100 |
| Session 3 | 72-86 | 75-89 |
| Day-one total | 239-287 | 236-284 |
Players to watch
Key players in South Africa vs Australia
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
- TS80Impact
Tristan Stubbs
Anchors the first innings
- KR93Impact
Kagiso Rabada
Hits a hard length
Australia
- JI95Impact
Josh Inglis
Adds lower-order runs
- PC90Impact
Pat Cummins
Hits a hard length
Betting notes
How to bet on SA vs AUS 2nd Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
At 48-52, this is close to a coin flip. Tight Test markets usually swing hardest during the second session, so an early position with room to trade out makes sense.
- 02
In a Test, the match moves session by session. Session-runs and next-wicket markets on South Africa vs Australia react faster than the overall result line.
- 03
Late in a series, player markets such as top batter and most sixes often lag the match-winner line. That makes them the softer option on 2nd Test day.
- 04
Powerplay247 is an exchange, so you can back or lay every market on South Africa vs Australia. You can also trade out mid-match to lock in part of a profit.
Match card
South Africa vs Australia match details
- Series
- Australia tour of South Africa, 2026
- Match
- 2nd Test (5 of 6)
- Date
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- St George's Park, Gqeberha
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Thu, 24 Sept 2026 - Sat, 31 Oct 2026
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 Tests
Match preview
South Africa meet Australia in the 2nd Test of Australia tour of South Africa, 2026 at St George's Park, Gqeberha. Coming late in Australia tour of South Africa, 2026, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. South Africa are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has South Africa scoring 239-287 and Australia 236-284, with Australia ahead at 52%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at St George's Park will move the live price on Powerplay247.
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
SA vs AUS 2nd Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes Australia favourites at 52%, with South Africa on 48%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a two-paced / bowling pitch at St George's Park. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for St George's Park?
St George's Park, Gqeberha is rated two-paced / bowling for this Test, which suits bowlers. That is why South Africa are projected at 239-287 and Australia at 236-284. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is South Africa vs Australia?
The 2nd Test is scheduled for Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST at St George's Park, Gqeberha, as part of Australia tour of South Africa, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Which markets are best for this Test?
Session runs, first-innings lead and next-wicket markets. In a Test at St George's Park, those move far more than the result line, especially after the first session.
What are the projected scores for SA vs AUS?
We project South Africa at 239-287 and Australia at 236-284 for the day-one total. The biggest phase is Session 2, where South Africa are expected to score 89-107 and Australia 84-100.
Who should bat first at St George's Park if they win the toss?
Most sides choose to bowl, since the surface tends to slow down further as the game goes on. On a two-paced / bowling surface, the toss will move the the second session and totals markets more than the headline odds.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.