Australia tour of South Africa, 2026 · TEST MATCH
South Africa vs Australia 3rd Test Prediction
SA vs AUS · who will win, pitch report & odds
South Africa
54% win probability
Projected day-one total
238-288:239-289
Australia
46% win probability
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026Series window, not a confirmed XI date
- 19:30 IST
- Newlands, Cape Town
- TWO-PACED / BOWLING
Quick answer
Quick answer
Our lean for South Africa vs Australia is South Africa at 54%. Newlands is rated two-paced / bowling, which favours bowlers, and the projected day-one totals are 238-288 for South Africa and 239-289 for Australia. Start time: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST.
- Favourite
- South Africa (54%)
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Pitch suits
- Bowlers
- Venue
- Newlands
Match prediction
SA vs AUS 3rd Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model leans South Africa at 54% for this 3rd Test at Newlands, Cape Town. The toss and the two-paced / bowling conditions will still move the live price, so treat 54% as a lean rather than a certainty.
Predicted winner
South Africa
54% win probability
3rd Test · TEST MATCH
South Africa win
54%
Australia win
46%
SA projected
238-288
AUS projected
239-289
Pitch and conditions
Newlands pitch report for SA vs AUS
Newlands is rated two-paced / bowling for this test match. The ball comes on at uneven pace, which punishes hard hands and keeps totals under par.
Venue
Newlands
Surface
TWO-PACED / BOWLING
Best suited to
Bowlers
Day-one total
238-288 / 239-289
Toss call: Most sides choose to bowl, since the surface tends to slow down further as the game goes on.
Projected scoreline
South Africa vs Australia projected score by phase
How the day-one total is expected to build, phase by phase, on a two-paced / bowling surface.
| Phase | South Africa | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Session 1 | 76-94 | 79-95 |
| Session 2 | 82-100 | 85-103 |
| Session 3 | 80-94 | 75-91 |
| Day-one total | 238-288 | 239-289 |
Players to watch
Key players in South Africa vs Australia
The names most likely to move the batter, bowler and player-runs markets in this test match. Final XIs are confirmed at the toss.
South Africa
- MJ80Impact
Marco Jansen
Balances bat and ball
- RH93Impact
Reeza Hendricks
Converts starts into hundreds
Australia
- JH92Impact
Josh Hazlewood
Hits a hard length
- SS91Impact
Steve Smith
Converts starts into hundreds
Betting notes
How to bet on SA vs AUS 3rd Test
Four angles worth weighing before you place a bet on this fixture.
- 01
Newlands plays two-paced / bowling. Price the day-one total in phases instead of backing a single full-innings number before the toss.
- 02
Late in a series, player markets such as top batter and most sixes often lag the match-winner line. That makes them the softer option on 3rd Test day.
- 03
At 54-46, this is close to a coin flip. Tight Test markets usually swing hardest during the second session, so an early position with room to trade out makes sense.
- 04
Powerplay247 is an exchange, so you can back or lay every market on South Africa vs Australia. You can also trade out mid-match to lock in part of a profit.
Match card
South Africa vs Australia match details
- Series
- Australia tour of South Africa, 2026
- Match
- 3rd Test (6 of 6)
- Date
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026
- Start
- 19:30 IST
- Venue
- Newlands, Cape Town
- Format
- TEST MATCH
- Series window
- Thu, 24 Sept 2026 - Sat, 31 Oct 2026
- Series format
- 3 ODIs | 3 Tests
Match preview
South Africa meet Australia in the 3rd Test of Australia tour of South Africa, 2026 at Newlands, Cape Town. Coming late in Australia tour of South Africa, 2026, form from the earlier games is already priced into the market. South Africa are at home, and home conditions are already built into the numbers. Our projection has South Africa scoring 238-288 and Australia 239-289, with South Africa ahead at 54%. Treat that as a lean, not a lock: the toss and the first hour at Newlands will move the live price on Powerplay247.
All fixturesNext on the calendar
More cricket fixtures
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Fri, 16 Oct 2026
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2nd Test: South Africa vs Australia
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2nd ODI: South Africa vs Australia
Thu, 01 Oct 2026
Australia tour of South Africa, 2026
3rd ODI: South Africa vs Australia
Fri, 09 Oct 2026
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Read moreFrequently asked questions
6 questions
SA vs AUS 3rd Test: who will win?
Powerplay247's model makes South Africa favourites at 54%, with Australia on 46%. That is based on team strength, venue history and a two-paced / bowling pitch at Newlands. It is a projection, not a guarantee, so check the live price before placing a bet.
What is the pitch report for Newlands?
Newlands, Cape Town is rated two-paced / bowling for this Test, which suits bowlers. That is why South Africa are projected at 238-288 and Australia at 239-289. The pitch usually moves the totals and the second session markets more than the match-winner price.
When and where is South Africa vs Australia?
The 3rd Test is scheduled for Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 19:30 IST at Newlands, Cape Town, as part of Australia tour of South Africa, 2026. Dates follow the series calendar and can change, so confirm with the board's official schedule on match day.
Where does the 3rd Test fit in Australia tour of South Africa, 2026?
It is match 6 of 6, so recent form is already in South Africa's 54% line. Any momentum swing from the last game is where value can appear.
Can I bet on SA vs AUS in-play?
Yes. Powerplay247 keeps South Africa vs Australia open ball by ball, with back and lay prices on the match winner, sessions and player markets. The best in-play window is usually just after the second session.
What are the projected scores for SA vs AUS?
We project South Africa at 238-288 and Australia at 239-289 for the day-one total. The biggest phase is Session 2, where South Africa are expected to score 82-100 and Australia 85-103.
Still have a question? Our support team answers on WhatsApp.
Ask on WhatsAppPredictions, projected scores and win percentages on this page come from Powerplay247's own model, built from team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, not guarantees, and live prices on the exchange are the only prices that settle. For adults of legal age only; set limits and play responsibly.